TY  - BOOK
AU  - Behar,Cem
ED  - Türk Sanayicileri ve İşadamları Derneği.
TI  - Turkey's window of opportunity: demographic transition process and its consequences 
T2  - Türk Sanayicileri ve İşadamları Derneği
SN  - 9757249815
AV  - HB3633.4.A3 T86 1999
PY  - 1999///
CY  - İstanbul
PB  - Turkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association
KW  - Turkey
KW  - Economic policy
KW  - Politics and government
KW  - 1980-
N1  - CONTENTS; INTRODUCTION	15; SUMMARY	17; CHAPTER 1 AN OVERVIEW OF TURKEY'S POPULATION	29; 1.1. Turkey's Population till Mid-21st Century	31; 1.1.1. 1994 Population Projections of the State Institute of Statistics	32; 1.1.2. Projection Results and Interpretations	34; 1.1.3. Changes in the Dependency Ratio   	39; 1.1.4. Various Demographic Indicators from 1990 to 2025, and Their Interpretation   40; 1.1.4.1. Births   	41; 1.1.4.2. Deaths	43; 1.1.4.3. Population growth rate	44; 1.1.4.4. Populations of Cities	45; 1.1.5. Projection of Number of Households for the Period Until 2025   	46; CHAPTER2 THE CHANGING NATURE OF TURKISH URBANISATION AND ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY ON THE EYE OF THE 21 st CENTURY: NEW CHALLENGES AND NEW OPPORTUNITIES	51; 2.1. Introduction   	53; 2.2  Turkish Urbanisation in Figures    	56; 2.3. New Urbanisation Dynamics	60; 2.4. The Transformation of Economic Geography of Turkey: Analyses and Projections	66; 2.4.1. Database	67; 2.4.2. Changes in the National Economic Geography During the 1983 - 1986 Period Quantitative Analyses   	67; 2.4.3. Land Use Trends and Projections in Turkey	74; 2.4.4. Future Problems and Opportunİties   	78; CHAPTER3 SOCIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A CHANGING DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE: THE PAST, THE PRESENT, AND THE FUTURE	85; 3.1. Introduction	87; 3.2. The Problem That Can Be Carried Fonvard: Unorganised Society or Informal Relations   .87; 3.2.1. Family: A Timeworn Institution    	88; 3.2.2. Proliferation of Informal Solidaristic Relationshİps    	90; 3.2.3. Urban Inequalities, Popülist Policies, and the Downsizing of the State	91; 3.2.4. The Second-Generation Shanty Town Youth   	93; 3.3. Tomorrow's Agenda: Improvement of the Çjuality of Social Life	 .95; 3.3.1. The Problem of Adult Population	96; 3.3.2. The Problem of Elderiy Population	97; 3.3.3. Cultural Groups and Ethnic Relations   	98; 3.3.4. The Problem of Foreign Population and Migration	100; CHAPTER4 THE STRUCTURE OF TURKISH LABOR MARKETS: 1998 - 2025	103; 4.1. Introduction   	105; 4.2. Rising Returns to Skill in the World: Human Capital and Employment Trends    	105; 4.2.1. The Direction of Employment Distribution: General Remarks	106; 4.2.2. Aggregate Investment, Unemployment and Infülation in Turkey: Brief Remarks 109; 4.3. Reflection of Global Labor Market Trends in Turkey   	110; 4.4. Long-term Labor Supply in Turkey   	114; 4.4.1. Population Trends in Turkey   	114; 4.4.2. Estimation of Turkish Labor Force Participation Rates	117; 4.5. Employment and Unemployment Predictions in Turkey	119; 4.5.1. On Manufacturing Employment in Turkey	119; 4.5.2. Employment and Unemployment in Turkey: 2000-2025	120; 4.6. Employment Policy Suggestions for Turkey   	122; 4.6.1. Employment Policy: A Brief Outline	123; 4.6.2. Desired Sectors of Manufacturing Employment		125; 4.7. Conclusion   	126; Appendix   	128
ER  -