000 04201nam a2200325 i 4500
008 990809s1999 tu 000 0 eng d
020 _a9757249815
035 _a(OCoLC)
040 _aBAUN
_beng
_cBAUN
_erda
049 _aBAUN_MERKEZ
050 0 4 _aHB3633.4.A3
_bT86 1999
240 1 0 _aTürkiye'nin fırsat penceresi :demografik dönüşüm ve izdüşümleri.
_lEnglish.
245 0 0 _aTurkey's window of opportunity :
_bdemographic transition process and its consequences /
_cTurkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association ; prepared by Cem Behar ...[at. al]
264 1 _aİstanbul :
_bTurkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association,
_c1999.
300 _a129 pages :
_billustrations ;
_c25 cm.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
490 1 _aTürk Sanayicileri ve İşadamları Derneği ;
_vTÜSİAD publication no-T/99-3-254
505 0 0 _tCONTENTS
_tINTRODUCTION 15
_tSUMMARY 17
_tCHAPTER 1 AN OVERVIEW OF TURKEY'S POPULATION 29
_t1.1. Turkey's Population till Mid-21st Century 31
_t1.1.1. 1994 Population Projections of the State Institute of Statistics 32
_t1.1.2. Projection Results and Interpretations 34
_t1.1.3. Changes in the Dependency Ratio 39
_t1.1.4. Various Demographic Indicators from 1990 to 2025, and Their Interpretation 40
_t1.1.4.1. Births 41
_t1.1.4.2. Deaths 43
_t1.1.4.3. Population growth rate 44
_t1.1.4.4. Populations of Cities 45
_t1.1.5. Projection of Number of Households for the Period Until 2025 46
_tCHAPTER2 THE CHANGING NATURE OF TURKISH URBANISATION AND ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY ON THE EYE OF THE 21 st CENTURY: NEW CHALLENGES AND NEW OPPORTUNITIES 51
_t2.1. Introduction 53
_t2.2 Turkish Urbanisation in Figures 56
_t2.3. New Urbanisation Dynamics 60
_t2.4. The Transformation of Economic Geography of Turkey: Analyses and Projections 66
_t2.4.1. Database 67
_t2.4.2. Changes in the National Economic Geography During the 1983 - 1986 Period Quantitative Analyses 67
_t2.4.3. Land Use Trends and Projections in Turkey 74
_t2.4.4. Future Problems and Opportunİties 78
_tCHAPTER3 SOCIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A CHANGING DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE: THE PAST, THE PRESENT, AND THE FUTURE 85
_t3.1. Introduction 87
_t3.2. The Problem That Can Be Carried Fonvard: Unorganised Society or Informal Relations .87
_t3.2.1. Family: A Timeworn Institution 88
_t3.2.2. Proliferation of Informal Solidaristic Relationshİps 90
_t3.2.3. Urban Inequalities, Popülist Policies, and the Downsizing of the State 91
_t3.2.4. The Second-Generation Shanty Town Youth 93
_t3.3. Tomorrow's Agenda: Improvement of the Çjuality of Social Life .95
_t3.3.1. The Problem of Adult Population 96
_t3.3.2. The Problem of Elderiy Population 97
_t3.3.3. Cultural Groups and Ethnic Relations 98
_t3.3.4. The Problem of Foreign Population and Migration 100
_tCHAPTER4 THE STRUCTURE OF TURKISH LABOR MARKETS: 1998 - 2025 103
_t4.1. Introduction 105
_t4.2. Rising Returns to Skill in the World: Human Capital and Employment Trends 105
_t4.2.1. The Direction of Employment Distribution: General Remarks 106
_t4.2.2. Aggregate Investment, Unemployment and Infülation in Turkey: Brief Remarks 109
_t4.3. Reflection of Global Labor Market Trends in Turkey 110
_t4.4. Long-term Labor Supply in Turkey 114
_t4.4.1. Population Trends in Turkey 114
_t4.4.2. Estimation of Turkish Labor Force Participation Rates 117
_t4.5. Employment and Unemployment Predictions in Turkey 119
_t4.5.1. On Manufacturing Employment in Turkey 119
_t4.5.2. Employment and Unemployment in Turkey: 2000-2025 120
_t4.6. Employment Policy Suggestions for Turkey 122
_t4.6.1. Employment Policy: A Brief Outline 123
_t4.6.2. Desired Sectors of Manufacturing Employment 125
_t4.7. Conclusion 126
_tAppendix 128
651 0 _aTurkey
_xEconomic policy.
651 0 _aTurkey
_xPolitics and government
_y1980-
700 1 _aBehar, Cem,
_d1946-
710 2 _95270
_aTürk Sanayicileri ve İşadamları Derneği.
740 0 2 _aDemographic transition process and its consequences.
830 0 _95271
_aTürk Sanayicileri ve İş Adamları Derneği yayınları ;
_vT/99-3-254
900 _a4677
900 _bBağış
942 _2lcc
_cKT
999 _c4537
_d4537